{"id":1015,"date":"2015-06-29T14:25:43","date_gmt":"2015-06-29T13:25:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thduggie.com\/thduggies_blog\/?p=1015"},"modified":"2015-06-29T14:25:43","modified_gmt":"2015-06-29T13:25:43","slug":"baby-pool-iv-the-results","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thduggie.com\/thduggies_blog\/2015\/baby-pool-iv-the-results","title":{"rendered":"Baby pool IV: the results"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Eleonora Margaret St\u00c3\u00bccklin is here, and decided to come a few hours past the astronomical solstice, but still on the 21st of June, the best Father&#8217;s Day present I&#8217;ve ever received.\u00c2\u00a0 Combined with her dimensions and gender she also gave me a less relevant Father&#8217;s Day present: winning the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thduggie.com\/thduggies_blog\/2015\/baby-pool-iv\">baby pool IV<\/a>.\u00c2\u00a0 Because it feels rather goofy to award myself with sweets, I&#8217;ll be sending them to the participant who scored worst in every single category.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s how to read the table: Ellie&#8217;s data is in the row labeled &#8220;actual.&#8221;\u00c2\u00a0 The row &#8220;average&#8221; represents the average of all guesses.\u00c2\u00a0 All other rows are actual guesses, sorted in order of ascending points.\u00c2\u00a0 Every category shows the number of points with which the guess is penalized, and next to it the percentage of the total points contributed by this category.\u00c2\u00a0 The coloring scale of the points is relative to the other participants (how well did I do compared to X&#8217;s guess?), but the coloring of the percentages is relative to the other categories (how much damage did I do in this category?).<\/p>\n<p>For example, I guessed both the gender and length right, giving me zero points.\u00c2\u00a0 Everything is green: I scored best relative to everyone else, and contributed the least to my point total.\u00c2\u00a0 However, in the weight category, I was over 200 grams off, so I scored -1.05 points.\u00c2\u00a0 Compared to everyone else, that was an ok score: yellow points.\u00c2\u00a0 But compared to my point total, this was by far the largest chunk &#8211; 85% of my score &#8211; and therefore deep red.\u00c2\u00a0 The color coding lets you see where you can improve your guessing, and it shows me that the formula probably gives the date too much weight.\u00c2\u00a0 If there is ever another pool, I&#8217;ll reduce the penalty to 1 point per two days off.<\/p>\n<p>As for the category winners: Sandra and I win the length category, Noah edges out Sandra and Kathy in weight, and I win the date category.\u00c2\u00a0 Except for the date, Sandra did a terrific job of getting Ellie&#8217;s vital stats &#8211; but I checked, even with the reduced date penalty I&#8217;d still win the pool.<\/p>\n<p>So here they are: more numbers than you can shake a stick at.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.thduggie.com\/thduggies_blog\/images\/2015\/06\/BabyPoolIVResults1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft wp-image-1017 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/www.thduggie.com\/thduggies_blog\/images\/2015\/06\/BabyPoolIVResults1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"708\" height=\"382\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thduggie.com\/thduggies_blog\/images\/2015\/06\/BabyPoolIVResults1.jpg 708w, https:\/\/www.thduggie.com\/thduggies_blog\/images\/2015\/06\/BabyPoolIVResults1-300x162.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.thduggie.com\/thduggies_blog\/images\/2015\/06\/BabyPoolIVResults1-624x337.jpg 624w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 708px) 100vw, 708px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Eleonora Margaret St\u00c3\u00bccklin is here, and decided to come a few hours past the astronomical solstice, but still on the 21st of June, the best Father&#8217;s Day present I&#8217;ve ever received.\u00c2\u00a0 Combined with her dimensions and gender she also gave me a less relevant Father&#8217;s Day present: winning the baby pool IV.\u00c2\u00a0 Because it feels rather goofy to award myself with sweets, I&#8217;ll be sending them to the participant who scored worst in every single category. Here&#8217;s how to read the table: Ellie&#8217;s data is in the row labeled &#8220;actual.&#8221;\u00c2\u00a0 The row &#8220;average&#8221; represents the average of all guesses.\u00c2\u00a0 All other rows are actual guesses, sorted in order of ascending [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,22,4],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thduggie.com\/thduggies_blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1015"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thduggie.com\/thduggies_blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thduggie.com\/thduggies_blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thduggie.com\/thduggies_blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thduggie.com\/thduggies_blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1015"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.thduggie.com\/thduggies_blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1015\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1018,"href":"https:\/\/www.thduggie.com\/thduggies_blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1015\/revisions\/1018"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thduggie.com\/thduggies_blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1015"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thduggie.com\/thduggies_blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1015"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thduggie.com\/thduggies_blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1015"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}