Switzerland is an odd little country in several ways. Among others, it’s not part of the EU, despite being surrounded by it; it just posted surprisingly good financial results; it still has a comparatively large conscripted militia; and it has its soldiers keep their firearms at home. In other words, Switzerland is a large-scale experiment on gun control.
Switzerland’s voting on the latter point on February 13th, after an initiative was handed in that demands the army firearms be kept in the arsenal, that all firearms be registered, and that someone who wants a gun needs to prove his ability to use it and his need for it. I’d been indecisive on the matter. A national firearms register will cost a lot of money and make a nice dent in those surprisingly good financial results mentioned. An octogenarian gun collector would have to prove his ability or render the guns inoperable in order to be allowed to keep them. On the other hand, the army rifle is a killing instrument readily available to a large number of Swiss men, and guns don’t really have an awful lot of civil uses.
The arguments on both sides are mostly the usual useless stuff. Dead teddies with a bleeding shot wound face off with scary gangsters pointing guns. We’ll either kill our families or destroy the fabric of Swiss culture.
Time for a few numbers and facts.
In 2008, 259 people died in Switzerland because of firearms; 239 of these were suicides. (link)Â In 1998, the numbers were 466 and 413.
In 2009, Switzerland had 236 homicides and attempted homicides; 55 of these involved firearms, and in those 55, 24 people died. (same source as above)
A 2008 study compared suicide methods across Europe and found the rate of firearm use more than three times as high in Switzerland than the European average (about 33% versus about 10%). (link)
Roughly 60% of homicides and attempted homicides are apparently due to foreigners, who wouldn’t have access to army firearms. (link)
Apparently, knives kill more people than firearms. (link)
In 2009, 349 people died in Switzerland on the roads. (link)
And then, there’s an interesting observation following a drastic change in the Swiss Army. In 2004, the army was reorganized, the maximum age of service lowered from 40 to 30, and it was made a lot more difficult to keep the army firearm after leaving the army. Comparing the data from 1995-2003 with the data from 2004-2008 shows a reduction of firearms suicides among men aged 30-40 by 48.6%. (link) It seems that weapon availability has a lot to do with the suicide rate. It also makes sense that the more popular methods can’t be outlawed, because people use knives in the kitchen and ropes to tow cars.
So, stricter gun laws would probably reduce the number of firearms suicides. If we assume costs similar to Canada, roughly 100 million a year, and that we can cut firearms suicides and murders by half, we’re looking at spending ca. 700’000 a year per prevented death.
However, the study on the effect of weapon availability on firearms suicide rate also says that the changes in firearms suicide rate are lost in the overall statistics on suicides because of the large increase in assisted suicides. If we’re willing to put that much money toward firearms suicide prevention, we should probably put serious effort toward decreasing the assisted suicides as well – but that’s not nearly as easily legislated as banning guns.
In short, we can spend a lot of money to perhaps reduce our suicide rate by 15%, moving down from 17.5 suicides per 100’000 people to 14.9 and thereby from rank 17 to rank 24 worldwide. Or we can continue pretending that guns don’t kill people. Do you understand why I’m still undecided?
Thanks for the statistics. I was reading an article today about the gun issue and wondering why the emphasis is on opinion polls and not any mention of statistics concerning gun misuse. I wasn’t sure where to find the information and then this evening your blog article appears!
An unrelated number is the SIDS rate per 100’000 people. We have a birth rate of around 9.2-9.6 per 1000 people (Wikipedia list), and a SIDS rate of around 0.83 per 1000 live births (link). So, the SIDS rate per 100’000 people in Switzerland is
0.83 / 1000 * 9.4 / 1000 * 100’000 = 0.78
— or about 60 SIDS deaths every year in Switzerland.
The reason I think opinion polls are emphasized is that they are what wins votes.
Another unrelated number I’d like to have is the number of men who gain weight after marriage due to the mere increased availability of food…
Another more related number I’d like to see is the gun crime rate and gun law toughness per state in the US. I did a quick search and found an article in the NY Times that reports on a study which claims that states with lax gun laws export guns to states with tougher laws, so even having the number I’d like to see probably wouldn’t tell the whole story.
What jumped out at me was the number of gun killings in the US. 12’000 a year translates to 4 per 100’000 inhabitants. The Swiss number of 55 (or 24) translates to 0.73 (or 0.32) per 100’000 inhabitants.
Thanks for the statistics. Whenever someone talks about “doing something about X,” where X is a situation in which some people die, I always want to know how the death rate due to X compares with the death rate on the highway, and if they’re willing to be as enthusiastic about doing without cars as they are about doing without (or making other people do without) X. But I’m usually too lazy to put together the statistics myself. Or I give up trying to find them.
I suspect making guns available would do little to drop the suicide rate. The only reason I can think of that guns would contribute disproportionately is that they are so efficient they leave little room to change your mind, whereas bleeding to death and poisoning oneself take longer and sometimes allow for repentance. Actually, with assisted suicide being legal in Switzerland, I’m surprised people still use the uncomfortable methods — though I don’t know the rules: maybe there are too many hoops to jump through first if you want to do it legally.
I can see a perfectly good reason for a normal, law-abiding person to want to own a gun and know how to use it, though he (and especially she) would hope never to need to. What happened in New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina is proof that the layer of civilization on people is pretty thin, and a gun in competent hands levels the field somewhat, at least with amateur criminals. There’s some truth to the saying, “God created men, but Sam Colt made them equal.” That’s not to say guns kept for protection don’t sometimes end up being turned against their owners, but the point is I think that’s a valid reason for owning a gun. So is hunting, though I don’t like the sport myself.
The kind of gun control I’d like to see is something that would keep U.S. dealers from arming Mexico’s drug cartels. (And not just U.S. dealers — but the others are out of my purview.)
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