My alma mater, the EPFL, publishes the magazine Reflex, which is free for alumni. I usually read it, slowly and in chunks, on lunch breaks when I stay at work. Recently I finished the March 2013 issue, which focused on the science of cities. One article observed that cities, like organisms, benefit from an economy of scale: double the size of a city, and you’ll add 115% to the GDP, the wage bill, the number of patents and universities, but also to the number of crimes committed, flu cases, and the amount of garbage produced – but you’ll get it all for only 85% extra infrastructure. (That’s a semi-quote from the article, paraphrasing Geoffrey West from the Santa Fe Institute.) That explains to a degree why pretty much any restaurant in Tokyo survives: it’s part of the 85% extra infrastructure getting 115% revenue.
What I found more interesting, however, was an article entitled “Seven ideas for future cities,” by Benjamin Bollmann. These are the ideas he collected:
- Don’t raze slums: use them as urban laboratories.
- Attract yuppies to the suburbs – give the suburbs a culture makeover.
- Build natural barriers to natural disasters (e.g. wetlands against flooding).
- Spruce up industrial wasteland with gardens.
- Design for change and adaptability instead of immutable structures.
- Draw tourists with funky architecture (Bilbão effect).
- Reduce crime with clever urban planning (“shaping the path”).
Most sound good, if expensive; #6 and #3 might pay for themselves quickly, #4 and #7 more slowly. I’m not sure what to think of #2: do we really want to urbanize the suburbs? On the one hand, that might slow urban sprawl, if the suburbs get densified, but if it works, what will happen to the centers? #5 has me worried that it will counteract the prettification #4 achieves, and #1 – well, I just don’t know enough about slums. Is misery a fair price for innovation?